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Magnetic · Storms

Magnetic storms in Naxcivan

Magnetic storms in Naxcivan, Nakhchivan today. Current Kp index, 3-day forecast for Naxcivan, local time, geomagnetic latitude and aurora visibility chance.

0.3QUIET
Now
Quiet

Data as of 24 Aug, 08:41 (Asia/Baku).

Weather in Naxcivan

Temperature
+26.8°C
Pressure
687.6mm Hg
916.7 hPa
Cloud cover
1%
Humidity
41%
Wind
28 km/h
Sunrise
07:16
Sunset
20:45
Moon phase
waxing gibbous (84%)

Weather data: Open-Meteo (CC BY).

Local context

Local time
08:41 (UTC+4)
Latitude / longitude
39.209°, 45.412°
Geomagnetic latitude
34.4°
Population
97,200

Sensitivity · Naxcivan

Low sensitivity (low latitudes)

Aurora visibility chance0%

Kp is a planetary index — the same globally. Local impact depends on geomagnetic latitude: the higher it is, the more noticeable the storm.

Auroraforecast for Naxcivan

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Geomagnetic context for Naxcivan

Max Kp in the last 7 days
5.3G1
Storm days (G1+) this week
2
Nearest magnetic observatory
Gyulistan133 km

Magnetic storm in Naxcivan: 3-day Kp chart

Magnetic storm forecast (UTC+4)Magnetospherecalmunsettledstorm0123456789KpG1G2G3G4G508/1708/1808/19
Aurora forecast in Naxcivan
  • Fri, Aug 21no data
    Max Kp: Moon: 53%Clouds: 18%
    Kp forecast is not yet available for this date.
  • Sat, Aug 22no data
    Max Kp: Moon: 64%Clouds: 1%
    Kp forecast is not yet available for this date.
  • Sun, Aug 23no data
    Max Kp: Moon: 73%Clouds: 17%
    Kp forecast is not yet available for this date.
  • Mon, Aug 240
    Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 82%Clouds: 9%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Tue, Aug 250
    Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 90%Clouds: 0%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Wed, Aug 260
    Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 95%Clouds: 33%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Thu, Aug 270
    Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 99%Clouds: 38%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Fri, Aug 280
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 100%Clouds: 44%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sat, Aug 290
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 99%Clouds: 22%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sun, Aug 300
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 96%Clouds: 14%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Mon, Aug 310
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 91%Clouds: 11%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Tue, Sep 010
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 84%Clouds: 5%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Wed, Sep 020
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 75%Clouds: 6%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Thu, Sep 030
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 65%Clouds: 6%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Fri, Sep 040
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 55%Clouds:
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sat, Sep 050
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 44%Clouds:
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sun, Sep 060
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 34%Clouds:
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.

* Days marked with an asterisk do not have a direct NOAA forecast yet. If we have observations from 27 days ago, we use Bartels recurrence (the Sun rotates roughly every 27 days, so active regions often return with the same period). When no history is available, we substitute a baseline value typical for the current solar cycle 25 peak (Kp 3.0). Accuracy is lower than the direct three-day forecast.

How the score works

The composite score combines three signals: how strong the storm needs to be at your geomagnetic latitude, how bright the moon will be (a full moon hides faint auroras), and how cloudy the sky will be that night. A score of 70 or higher is excellent, 45 to 70 is good, below 20 means you probably will not see anything.

Magnetic storms in Naxcivan over the last 30 days

Geomagnetic storms of class G1 and above recorded over the past month. Times are shown in the city's local timezone (GMT+4).

In Naxcivan (geomagnetic latitude 34.4°), auroras are extremely rare even during strong storms.

Class G1+ geomagnetic storms in Naxcivan over the last 30 days
DatePeakMax KpLevelDurationAurora visible
07:005.0G13 hNo
22:005.3G13 hNo
07:005.0G13 hNo
Open full 30-day Kp chart

About magnetic storms in Naxcivan

Magnetic storm in Naxcivan today: planetary Kp = 0.3 (quiet). Over the last 7 days the maximum Kp above Naxcivan reached 5.3 (G1); storm days (G1+) this week: 2.

Naxcivan sits at geomagnetic latitude 34.4°. The nearest magnetic observatory continuously recording the field is Gyulistan, 133 km away. Population 97,200.

Naxcivan sits at low latitudes (34.4°), where geomagnetic storms have very limited impact on health. Scientific links between Kp and well-being are weak this far from the auroral oval, and only the strongest Carrington-class events would be expected to affect sensitive groups. Standard healthy habits, good sleep, hydration and moderate activity, remain the most reliable advice.

Technical systems in Naxcivan (34.4°, low latitudes) are well shielded from geomagnetic disturbances. Even extreme storms rarely cause meaningful GPS, radio or power-grid problems at this latitude, so routine activity, navigation and communications can be considered safe. For reference and historical events, data come from the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, updated every 10 minutes.

Over Naxcivan during the last 24 hours. Kp reached a maximum of 2.3 around 04:00 local time and dipped to 0.7. The planetary trend over the past 6 hours is rising — conditions near Naxcivan may intensify further. So far this month the planet has logged 2 days with a G1 or stronger geomagnetic storm.

Aurora visibility threshold for Naxcivan. At a geomagnetic latitude of 34.4°, the minimum Kp giving a realistic chance of visible auroras above Naxcivan is about Kp ≥ 9. The current equatorial Dst index is 0 nT — the magnetosphere is in a quiet phase. Dst complements Kp by showing how long and how deep a storm's main phase has been — useful context when checking whether auroras are likely tonight.

Weather and atmospheric pressure in Naxcivan right now. Temperature +26.8°C, atmospheric pressure 687.6 mm Hg (916.7 hPa), cloud cover 1%, humidity 41%, wind 28 km/h. During G1+ geomagnetic storms, swings in atmospheric pressure tend to amplify symptoms for weather-sensitive people: those with hypertension often notice blood-pressure spikes, and readings below 1000 hPa combined with Kp ≥ 5 frequently bring headaches and fatigue. That is why the Naxcivan page shows both indicators side by side. Weather data from Open-Meteo (CC BY).

Aurora viewing window for Naxcivan tonight. Sunset is at 20:45 local time, sunrise tomorrow at 07:16. Moon phase — waxing gibbous with 84% disk illumination. The Moon is close to full tonight, so moonlight will be strong and faint auroras will be harder to spot — wait for Kp ≥ 6 or pick a darker site..