Magnetic storms in Paernu
Magnetic storms in Paernu, Pärnumaa today. Current Kp index, 3-day forecast for Paernu, local time, geomagnetic latitude and aurora visibility chance.
Data as of 12 Jun, 09:41 (Europe/Tallinn).
Weather in Paernu
Weather data: Open-Meteo (CC BY).
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Local context
Sensitivity · Paernu
High sensitivity (sub-auroral zone)
Kp is a planetary index — the same globally. Local impact depends on geomagnetic latitude: the higher it is, the more noticeable the storm.
14-day calendar with Kp, moon and cloud factors
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Geomagnetic context for Paernu
Magnetic storm in Paernu: 3-day Kp chart
Aurora forecast in Paernu
| Date | Max Kp | Moon | Clouds | Score | Outlook |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jun 12 | 4.7 | 12% | 94% | 1 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Sat, Jun 13 | 5.7 | 6% | 98% | 1 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Sun, Jun 14 | 4.7 | 2% | 77% | 6 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Mon, Jun 15 | 2.0 | 0% | 51% | 2 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Tue, Jun 16 | 3.0* | 1% | 61% | 2 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Wed, Jun 17 | 3.0* | 3% | 14% | 4 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Thu, Jun 18 | 3.0* | 8% | 48% | 2 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Fri, Jun 19 | 3.0* | 15% | 28% | 3 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Sat, Jun 20 | 3.0* | 23% | 24% | 3 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Sun, Jun 21 | 3.0* | 33% | 65% | 1 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Mon, Jun 22 | 3.0* | 43% | 16% | 3 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Tue, Jun 23 | 3.0* | 54% | 59% | 1 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Wed, Jun 24 | 3.0* | 64% | 7% | 3 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Thu, Jun 25 | 3.0* | 74% | 51% | 1 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
- Fri, Jun 121Max Kp: 4.7Moon: 12%Clouds: 94%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Sat, Jun 131Max Kp: 5.7Moon: 6%Clouds: 98%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Sun, Jun 146Max Kp: 4.7Moon: 2%Clouds: 77%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Mon, Jun 152Max Kp: 2.0Moon: 0%Clouds: 51%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Tue, Jun 162Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 1%Clouds: 61%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Wed, Jun 174Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 3%Clouds: 14%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Thu, Jun 182Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 8%Clouds: 48%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Fri, Jun 193Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 15%Clouds: 28%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Sat, Jun 203Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 23%Clouds: 24%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Sun, Jun 211Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 33%Clouds: 65%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Mon, Jun 223Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 43%Clouds: 16%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Tue, Jun 231Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 54%Clouds: 59%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Wed, Jun 243Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 64%Clouds: 7%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Thu, Jun 251Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 74%Clouds: 51%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
* Days marked with an asterisk do not have a direct NOAA forecast yet. If we have observations from 27 days ago, we use Bartels recurrence (the Sun rotates roughly every 27 days, so active regions often return with the same period). When no history is available, we substitute a baseline value typical for the current solar cycle 25 peak (Kp 3.0). Accuracy is lower than the direct three-day forecast.
How the score works
The composite score combines three signals: how strong the storm needs to be at your geomagnetic latitude, how bright the moon will be (a full moon hides faint auroras), and how cloudy the sky will be that night. A score of 70 or higher is excellent, 45 to 70 is good, below 20 means you probably will not see anything.
Magnetic storms in Paernu over the last 30 days
Geomagnetic storms of class G1 and above recorded over the past month. Times are shown in the city's local timezone (GMT+3).
In Paernu (geomagnetic latitude 56.1°), auroras are possible from Kp ≥ 6.
| Date | Peak | Max Kp | Level | Duration | Aurora visible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:00 | 5.0 | G1 | 3 h | No | |
| 18:00 | 6.3 | G2 | 12 h | Yes |
About magnetic storms in Paernu
Magnetic storm in Paernu today: planetary Kp = 2.7 (quiet). Over the last 7 days the maximum Kp above Paernu reached 6.3 (G2); storm days (G1+) this week: 2.
Paernu sits at geomagnetic latitude 56.1°. The nearest magnetic observatory continuously recording the field is Saint Petersburg (Voeikovo), 394 km away. Population 40,228.
Paernu lies in the sub-auroral zone (56.1°), where storms are felt several times per year. At G3 and stronger, weather-sensitive residents may experience blood-pressure changes, headaches and sleep issues; pensioners and people with hypertension should watch the forecast. During a storm, drink more water, avoid alcohol and strong coffee, and reduce intense physical exertion.
Technical consequences for Paernu (sub-auroral zone, 56.1°) appear from G4 upward: GPS and HF radio may degrade, precise positioning can drift, and northern power grids in the region carry a measurable GIC risk during the strongest events. Drivers on long routes should track the forecast for the next 24 to 72 hours. Source: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, updated every 10 minutes.
Over Paernu during the last 24 hours. Kp reached a maximum of 5.0 around 21:00 local time and dipped to 2.3. The planetary trend over the past 6 hours is falling — the magnetosphere near Paernu is in the recovery phase. So far this month the planet has logged 2 days with a G1 or stronger geomagnetic storm.
Aurora visibility threshold for Paernu. At a geomagnetic latitude of 56.1°, the minimum Kp giving a realistic chance of visible auroras above Paernu is about Kp ≥ 5. The current equatorial Dst index is 0 nT — the magnetosphere is in a quiet phase. Dst complements Kp by showing how long and how deep a storm's main phase has been — useful context when checking whether auroras are likely tonight.
Weather and atmospheric pressure in Paernu right now. Temperature +12.9°C, atmospheric pressure 758.9 mm Hg (1011.8 hPa), cloud cover 93%, humidity 84%, wind 16.9 km/h. During G1+ geomagnetic storms, swings in atmospheric pressure tend to amplify symptoms for weather-sensitive people: those with hypertension often notice blood-pressure spikes, and readings below 1000 hPa combined with Kp ≥ 5 frequently bring headaches and fatigue. That is why the Paernu page shows both indicators side by side. Weather data from Open-Meteo (CC BY).
Aurora viewing window for Paernu tonight. Sunset is at 22:27 local time, sunrise tomorrow at 04:15. Moon phase — waning crescent with 10% disk illumination. Heavy cloud cover lowers the chance of seeing auroras even during a strong storm — it may be worth waiting for the next clear night..