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Magnetic · Storms

Magnetic storms in Ayagoz

Magnetic storms in Ayagoz, Abai Region today. Current Kp index, 3-day forecast for Ayagoz, local time, geomagnetic latitude and aurora visibility chance.

3.0QUIET
Now
Quiet

Data as of 12 Jun, 12:08 (Asia/Almaty).

Weather in Ayagoz

Temperature
+28.7°C
Pressure
703.3mm Hg
937.6 hPa
Cloud cover
53%
Humidity
29%
Wind
14.5 km/h
Sunrise
05:38
Sunset
21:37
Moon phase
waning crescent (10%)

Weather data: Open-Meteo (CC BY).

Local context

Local time
12:08 (UTC+5)
Latitude / longitude
47.964°, 80.434°
Geomagnetic latitude
39.5°
Population
33,479

Sensitivity · Ayagoz

Low sensitivity (low latitudes)

Aurora visibility chance0%

Kp is a planetary index — the same globally. Local impact depends on geomagnetic latitude: the higher it is, the more noticeable the storm.

Auroraforecast for Ayagoz

14-day calendar with Kp, moon and cloud factors

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Geomagnetic context for Ayagoz

Max Kp in the last 7 days
6.3G2
Storm days (G1+) this week
2
Nearest magnetic observatory
Alma-Ata598 km

Magnetic storm in Ayagoz: 3-day Kp chart

Magnetic storm forecast (UTC+5)Magnetospherecalmunsettledstorm0123456789KpG1G2G3G4G506/0506/0606/07
Aurora forecast in Ayagoz
  • Fri, Jun 120
    Max Kp: 4.7Moon: 12%Clouds: 56%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sat, Jun 130
    Max Kp: 5.7Moon: 6%Clouds: 17%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sun, Jun 140
    Max Kp: 4.7Moon: 2%Clouds: 27%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Mon, Jun 150
    Max Kp: 2.0Moon: 0%Clouds: 63%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Tue, Jun 160
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 1%Clouds: 46%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Wed, Jun 170
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 3%Clouds: 51%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Thu, Jun 180
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 8%Clouds: 66%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Fri, Jun 190
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 15%Clouds: 30%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sat, Jun 200
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 23%Clouds: 25%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sun, Jun 210
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 33%Clouds: 50%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Mon, Jun 220
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 43%Clouds: 54%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Tue, Jun 230
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 54%Clouds: 37%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Wed, Jun 240
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 64%Clouds: 76%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Thu, Jun 250
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 74%Clouds: 54%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.

* Days marked with an asterisk do not have a direct NOAA forecast yet. If we have observations from 27 days ago, we use Bartels recurrence (the Sun rotates roughly every 27 days, so active regions often return with the same period). When no history is available, we substitute a baseline value typical for the current solar cycle 25 peak (Kp 3.0). Accuracy is lower than the direct three-day forecast.

How the score works

The composite score combines three signals: how strong the storm needs to be at your geomagnetic latitude, how bright the moon will be (a full moon hides faint auroras), and how cloudy the sky will be that night. A score of 70 or higher is excellent, 45 to 70 is good, below 20 means you probably will not see anything.

Magnetic storms in Ayagoz over the last 30 days

Geomagnetic storms of class G1 and above recorded over the past month. Times are shown in the city's local timezone (GMT+5).

In Ayagoz (geomagnetic latitude 39.5°), auroras are extremely rare even during strong storms.

Class G1+ geomagnetic storms in Ayagoz over the last 30 days
DatePeakMax KpLevelDurationAurora visible
23:005.0G13 hNo
20:006.3G212 hNo
Open full 30-day Kp chart

Nearby cities

About magnetic storms in Ayagoz

Magnetic storm in Ayagoz today: planetary Kp = 3.0 (quiet). Over the last 7 days the maximum Kp above Ayagoz reached 6.3 (G2); storm days (G1+) this week: 2.

Ayagoz sits at geomagnetic latitude 39.5°. The nearest magnetic observatory continuously recording the field is Alma-Ata, 598 km away. Population 33,479.

Ayagoz sits at low latitudes (39.5°), where geomagnetic storms have very limited impact on health. Scientific links between Kp and well-being are weak this far from the auroral oval, and only the strongest Carrington-class events would be expected to affect sensitive groups. Standard healthy habits, good sleep, hydration and moderate activity, remain the most reliable advice.

Technical systems in Ayagoz (39.5°, low latitudes) are well shielded from geomagnetic disturbances. Even extreme storms rarely cause meaningful GPS, radio or power-grid problems at this latitude, so routine activity, navigation and communications can be considered safe. For reference and historical events, data come from the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, updated every 10 minutes.

Over Ayagoz during the last 24 hours. Kp reached a maximum of 5.0 around 23:00 local time and dipped to 2.3. The planetary trend over the past 6 hours is falling — the magnetosphere near Ayagoz is in the recovery phase. So far this month the planet has logged 2 days with a G1 or stronger geomagnetic storm.

Aurora visibility threshold for Ayagoz. At a geomagnetic latitude of 39.5°, the minimum Kp giving a realistic chance of visible auroras above Ayagoz is about Kp ≥ 9. The current equatorial Dst index is 0 nT — the magnetosphere is in a quiet phase. Dst complements Kp by showing how long and how deep a storm's main phase has been — useful context when checking whether auroras are likely tonight.

Weather and atmospheric pressure in Ayagoz right now. Temperature +28.7°C, atmospheric pressure 703.3 mm Hg (937.6 hPa), cloud cover 53%, humidity 29%, wind 14.5 km/h. During G1+ geomagnetic storms, swings in atmospheric pressure tend to amplify symptoms for weather-sensitive people: those with hypertension often notice blood-pressure spikes, and readings below 1000 hPa combined with Kp ≥ 5 frequently bring headaches and fatigue. That is why the Ayagoz page shows both indicators side by side. Weather data from Open-Meteo (CC BY).

Aurora viewing window for Ayagoz tonight. Sunset is at 21:37 local time, sunrise tomorrow at 05:38. Moon phase — waning crescent with 10% disk illumination. Conditions are average — watch the cloud forecast and find a spot well away from city lights..