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Magnetic · Storms

Magnetic storms in Atbasar

Magnetic storms in Atbasar, Aqmola today. Current Kp index, 3-day forecast for Atbasar, local time, geomagnetic latitude and aurora visibility chance.

0.3QUIET
Now
Quiet

Data as of 24 Aug, 16:04 (Asia/Almaty).

Weather in Atbasar

Temperature
+24.9°C
Pressure
734.2mm Hg
978.8 hPa
Cloud cover
15%
Humidity
39%
Wind
23.8 km/h
Sunrise
07:25
Sunset
21:32
Moon phase
waxing gibbous (86%)

Weather data: Open-Meteo (CC BY).

Local context

Local time
16:04 (UTC+5)
Latitude / longitude
51.809°, 68.358°
Geomagnetic latitude
44.2°
Population
34,797

Sensitivity · Atbasar

Low sensitivity (low latitudes)

Aurora visibility chance0%

Kp is a planetary index — the same globally. Local impact depends on geomagnetic latitude: the higher it is, the more noticeable the storm.

Auroraforecast for Atbasar

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Geomagnetic context for Atbasar

Max Kp in the last 7 days
5.3G1
Storm days (G1+) this week
2
Nearest magnetic observatory
Novosibirsk1042 km

Magnetic storm in Atbasar: 3-day Kp chart

Magnetic storm forecast (UTC+5)Magnetospherecalmunsettledstorm0123456789KpG1G2G3G4G508/1708/1808/19
Aurora forecast in Atbasar
  • Mon, Aug 240
    Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 82%Clouds: 33%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Tue, Aug 250
    Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 90%Clouds: 9%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Wed, Aug 260
    Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 95%Clouds: 17%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Thu, Aug 270
    Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 99%Clouds: 42%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Fri, Aug 280
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 100%Clouds: 39%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sat, Aug 290
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 99%Clouds: 22%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sun, Aug 300
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 96%Clouds: 48%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Mon, Aug 310
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 91%Clouds: 43%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Tue, Sep 010
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 84%Clouds: 30%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Wed, Sep 020
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 75%Clouds: 77%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Thu, Sep 030
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 65%Clouds: 35%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Fri, Sep 040
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 55%Clouds: 57%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sat, Sep 050
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 44%Clouds: 91%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sun, Sep 060
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 34%Clouds: 49%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.

* Days marked with an asterisk do not have a direct NOAA forecast yet. If we have observations from 27 days ago, we use Bartels recurrence (the Sun rotates roughly every 27 days, so active regions often return with the same period). When no history is available, we substitute a baseline value typical for the current solar cycle 25 peak (Kp 3.0). Accuracy is lower than the direct three-day forecast.

How the score works

The composite score combines three signals: how strong the storm needs to be at your geomagnetic latitude, how bright the moon will be (a full moon hides faint auroras), and how cloudy the sky will be that night. A score of 70 or higher is excellent, 45 to 70 is good, below 20 means you probably will not see anything.

Magnetic storms in Atbasar over the last 30 days

Geomagnetic storms of class G1 and above recorded over the past month. Times are shown in the city's local timezone (GMT+5).

In Atbasar (geomagnetic latitude 44.2°), auroras are extremely rare even during strong storms.

Class G1+ geomagnetic storms in Atbasar over the last 30 days
DatePeakMax KpLevelDurationAurora visible
08:005.0G13 hNo
23:005.3G13 hNo
08:005.0G13 hNo
Open full 30-day Kp chart

Nearby cities

About magnetic storms in Atbasar

Magnetic storm in Atbasar today: planetary Kp = 0.3 (quiet). Over the last 7 days the maximum Kp above Atbasar reached 5.3 (G1); storm days (G1+) this week: 2.

Atbasar sits at geomagnetic latitude 44.2°. The nearest magnetic observatory continuously recording the field is Novosibirsk, 1042 km away. Population 34,797.

Atbasar sits at low latitudes (44.2°), where geomagnetic storms have very limited impact on health. Scientific links between Kp and well-being are weak this far from the auroral oval, and only the strongest Carrington-class events would be expected to affect sensitive groups. Standard healthy habits, good sleep, hydration and moderate activity, remain the most reliable advice.

Technical systems in Atbasar (44.2°, low latitudes) are well shielded from geomagnetic disturbances. Even extreme storms rarely cause meaningful GPS, radio or power-grid problems at this latitude, so routine activity, navigation and communications can be considered safe. For reference and historical events, data come from the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, updated every 10 minutes.

Over Atbasar during the last 24 hours. Kp reached a maximum of 2.3 around 05:00 local time and dipped to 0.7. The planetary trend over the past 6 hours is falling — the magnetosphere near Atbasar is in the recovery phase. So far this month the planet has logged 2 days with a G1 or stronger geomagnetic storm.

Aurora visibility threshold for Atbasar. At a geomagnetic latitude of 44.2°, the minimum Kp giving a realistic chance of visible auroras above Atbasar is about Kp ≥ 8. The current equatorial Dst index is 0 nT — the magnetosphere is in a quiet phase. Dst complements Kp by showing how long and how deep a storm's main phase has been — useful context when checking whether auroras are likely tonight.

Weather and atmospheric pressure in Atbasar right now. Temperature +24.9°C, atmospheric pressure 734.2 mm Hg (978.8 hPa), cloud cover 15%, humidity 39%, wind 23.8 km/h. During G1+ geomagnetic storms, swings in atmospheric pressure tend to amplify symptoms for weather-sensitive people: those with hypertension often notice blood-pressure spikes, and readings below 1000 hPa combined with Kp ≥ 5 frequently bring headaches and fatigue. That is why the Atbasar page shows both indicators side by side. Weather data from Open-Meteo (CC BY).

Aurora viewing window for Atbasar tonight. Sunset is at 21:32 local time, sunrise tomorrow at 07:25. Moon phase — waxing gibbous with 86% disk illumination. The Moon is close to full tonight, so moonlight will be strong and faint auroras will be harder to spot — wait for Kp ≥ 6 or pick a darker site..