Magnetic storms in Karakol
Magnetic storms in Karakol, Issyk-Kul today. Current Kp index, 3-day forecast for Karakol, local time, geomagnetic latitude and aurora visibility chance.
Data as of 24 Aug, 17:24 (Asia/Bishkek).
Weather in Karakol
Weather data: Open-Meteo (CC BY).
Health and geomagnetic storms
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Local context
Sensitivity · Karakol
Low sensitivity (low latitudes)
Kp is a planetary index — the same globally. Local impact depends on geomagnetic latitude: the higher it is, the more noticeable the storm.
14-day calendar with Kp, moon and cloud factors
Seven quick questions and personal tips
Geomagnetic context for Karakol
Magnetic storm in Karakol: 3-day Kp chart
Aurora forecast in Karakol
| Date | Max Kp | Moon | Clouds | Score | Outlook |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Aug 24 | 1.7 | 82% | 44% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Tue, Aug 25 | 1.7 | 90% | 54% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Wed, Aug 26 | 1.7 | 95% | 3% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Thu, Aug 27 | 1.7 | 99% | 1% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Fri, Aug 28 | 3.0* | 100% | 3% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Sat, Aug 29 | 3.0* | 99% | 11% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Sun, Aug 30 | 3.0* | 96% | 21% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Mon, Aug 31 | 3.0* | 91% | 6% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Tue, Sep 01 | 3.0* | 84% | 61% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Wed, Sep 02 | 3.0* | 75% | 8% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Thu, Sep 03 | 3.0* | 65% | 1% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Fri, Sep 04 | 3.0* | 55% | 13% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Sat, Sep 05 | 3.0* | 44% | 69% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Sun, Sep 06 | 3.0* | 34% | 77% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
- Mon, Aug 240Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 82%Clouds: 44%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Tue, Aug 250Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 90%Clouds: 54%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Wed, Aug 260Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 95%Clouds: 3%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Thu, Aug 270Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 99%Clouds: 1%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Fri, Aug 280Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 100%Clouds: 3%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Sat, Aug 290Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 99%Clouds: 11%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Sun, Aug 300Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 96%Clouds: 21%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Mon, Aug 310Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 91%Clouds: 6%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Tue, Sep 010Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 84%Clouds: 61%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Wed, Sep 020Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 75%Clouds: 8%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Thu, Sep 030Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 65%Clouds: 1%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Fri, Sep 040Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 55%Clouds: 13%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Sat, Sep 050Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 44%Clouds: 69%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Sun, Sep 060Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 34%Clouds: 77%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
* Days marked with an asterisk do not have a direct NOAA forecast yet. If we have observations from 27 days ago, we use Bartels recurrence (the Sun rotates roughly every 27 days, so active regions often return with the same period). When no history is available, we substitute a baseline value typical for the current solar cycle 25 peak (Kp 3.0). Accuracy is lower than the direct three-day forecast.
How the score works
The composite score combines three signals: how strong the storm needs to be at your geomagnetic latitude, how bright the moon will be (a full moon hides faint auroras), and how cloudy the sky will be that night. A score of 70 or higher is excellent, 45 to 70 is good, below 20 means you probably will not see anything.
Magnetic storms in Karakol over the last 30 days
Geomagnetic storms of class G1 and above recorded over the past month. Times are shown in the city's local timezone (GMT+6).
In Karakol (geomagnetic latitude 34.2°), auroras are extremely rare even during strong storms.
| Date | Peak | Max Kp | Level | Duration | Aurora visible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | 5.0 | G1 | 3 h | No | |
| 00:00 | 5.3 | G1 | 3 h | No | |
| 09:00 | 5.0 | G1 | 3 h | No |
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About magnetic storms in Karakol
Magnetic storm in Karakol today: planetary Kp = 0.7 (quiet). Over the last 7 days the maximum Kp above Karakol reached 5.3 (G1); storm days (G1+) this week: 2.
Karakol sits at geomagnetic latitude 34.2°. The nearest magnetic observatory continuously recording the field is Alma-Ata, 142 km away. Population 84,351.
Karakol sits at low latitudes (34.2°), where geomagnetic storms have very limited impact on health. Scientific links between Kp and well-being are weak this far from the auroral oval, and only the strongest Carrington-class events would be expected to affect sensitive groups. Standard healthy habits, good sleep, hydration and moderate activity, remain the most reliable advice.
Technical systems in Karakol (34.2°, low latitudes) are well shielded from geomagnetic disturbances. Even extreme storms rarely cause meaningful GPS, radio or power-grid problems at this latitude, so routine activity, navigation and communications can be considered safe. For reference and historical events, data come from the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, updated every 10 minutes.
Over Karakol during the last 24 hours. Kp reached a maximum of 2.3 around 06:00 local time and dipped to 0.7. The planetary trend over the past 6 hours is falling — the magnetosphere near Karakol is in the recovery phase. So far this month the planet has logged 2 days with a G1 or stronger geomagnetic storm.
Aurora visibility threshold for Karakol. At a geomagnetic latitude of 34.2°, the minimum Kp giving a realistic chance of visible auroras above Karakol is about Kp ≥ 9. The current equatorial Dst index is 0 nT — the magnetosphere is in a quiet phase. Dst complements Kp by showing how long and how deep a storm's main phase has been — useful context when checking whether auroras are likely tonight.
Weather and atmospheric pressure in Karakol right now. Temperature +17.3°C, atmospheric pressure 621.4 mm Hg (828.5 hPa), cloud cover 22%, humidity 54%, wind 4.4 km/h. During G1+ geomagnetic storms, swings in atmospheric pressure tend to amplify symptoms for weather-sensitive people: those with hypertension often notice blood-pressure spikes, and readings below 1000 hPa combined with Kp ≥ 5 frequently bring headaches and fatigue. That is why the Karakol page shows both indicators side by side. Weather data from Open-Meteo (CC BY).
Aurora viewing window for Karakol tonight. Sunset is at 22:34 local time, sunrise tomorrow at 09:03. Moon phase — waxing gibbous with 86% disk illumination. The Moon is close to full tonight, so moonlight will be strong and faint auroras will be harder to spot — wait for Kp ≥ 6 or pick a darker site..