Magnetic storms in Umraniye
Magnetic storms in Umraniye, Istanbul today. Current Kp index, 3-day forecast for Umraniye, local time, geomagnetic latitude and aurora visibility chance.
Data as of 12 Jun, 09:47 (Europe/Istanbul).
Weather in Umraniye
Weather data: Open-Meteo (CC BY).
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Local context
Sensitivity · Umraniye
Low sensitivity (low latitudes)
Kp is a planetary index — the same globally. Local impact depends on geomagnetic latitude: the higher it is, the more noticeable the storm.
14-day calendar with Kp, moon and cloud factors
Seven quick questions and personal tips
Geomagnetic context for Umraniye
Magnetic storm in Umraniye: 3-day Kp chart
Aurora forecast in Umraniye
| Date | Max Kp | Moon | Clouds | Score | Outlook |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jun 12 | 4.7 | 12% | 18% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Sat, Jun 13 | 5.7 | 6% | 91% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Sun, Jun 14 | 4.7 | 2% | 38% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Mon, Jun 15 | 2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Tue, Jun 16 | 3.0* | 1% | 42% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Wed, Jun 17 | 3.0* | 3% | 53% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Thu, Jun 18 | 3.0* | 8% | 57% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Fri, Jun 19 | 3.0* | 15% | 36% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Sat, Jun 20 | 3.0* | 23% | 23% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Sun, Jun 21 | 3.0* | 33% | 17% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Mon, Jun 22 | 3.0* | 43% | 8% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Tue, Jun 23 | 3.0* | 54% | 3% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Wed, Jun 24 | 3.0* | 64% | 38% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Thu, Jun 25 | 3.0* | 74% | 8% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
- Fri, Jun 120Max Kp: 4.7Moon: 12%Clouds: 18%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Sat, Jun 130Max Kp: 5.7Moon: 6%Clouds: 91%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Sun, Jun 140Max Kp: 4.7Moon: 2%Clouds: 38%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Mon, Jun 150Max Kp: 2.0Moon: 0%Clouds: 0%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Tue, Jun 160Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 1%Clouds: 42%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Wed, Jun 170Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 3%Clouds: 53%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Thu, Jun 180Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 8%Clouds: 57%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Fri, Jun 190Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 15%Clouds: 36%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Sat, Jun 200Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 23%Clouds: 23%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Sun, Jun 210Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 33%Clouds: 17%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Mon, Jun 220Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 43%Clouds: 8%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Tue, Jun 230Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 54%Clouds: 3%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Wed, Jun 240Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 64%Clouds: 38%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Thu, Jun 250Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 74%Clouds: 8%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
* Days marked with an asterisk do not have a direct NOAA forecast yet. If we have observations from 27 days ago, we use Bartels recurrence (the Sun rotates roughly every 27 days, so active regions often return with the same period). When no history is available, we substitute a baseline value typical for the current solar cycle 25 peak (Kp 3.0). Accuracy is lower than the direct three-day forecast.
How the score works
The composite score combines three signals: how strong the storm needs to be at your geomagnetic latitude, how bright the moon will be (a full moon hides faint auroras), and how cloudy the sky will be that night. A score of 70 or higher is excellent, 45 to 70 is good, below 20 means you probably will not see anything.
Magnetic storms in Umraniye over the last 30 days
Geomagnetic storms of class G1 and above recorded over the past month. Times are shown in the city's local timezone (GMT+3).
In Umraniye (geomagnetic latitude 38.5°), auroras are extremely rare even during strong storms.
| Date | Peak | Max Kp | Level | Duration | Aurora visible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:00 | 5.0 | G1 | 3 h | No | |
| 18:00 | 6.3 | G2 | 12 h | No |
Nearby cities
About magnetic storms in Umraniye
Magnetic storm in Umraniye today: planetary Kp = 2.7 (quiet). Over the last 7 days the maximum Kp above Umraniye reached 6.3 (G2); storm days (G1+) this week: 2.
Umraniye sits at geomagnetic latitude 38.5°. The nearest magnetic observatory continuously recording the field is Lviv, 1072 km away. Population 573,265.
Umraniye sits at low latitudes (38.5°), where geomagnetic storms have very limited impact on health. Scientific links between Kp and well-being are weak this far from the auroral oval, and only the strongest Carrington-class events would be expected to affect sensitive groups. Standard healthy habits, good sleep, hydration and moderate activity, remain the most reliable advice.
Technical systems in Umraniye (38.5°, low latitudes) are well shielded from geomagnetic disturbances. Even extreme storms rarely cause meaningful GPS, radio or power-grid problems at this latitude, so routine activity, navigation and communications can be considered safe. For reference and historical events, data come from the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, updated every 10 minutes.
Over Umraniye during the last 24 hours. Kp reached a maximum of 5.0 around 21:00 local time and dipped to 2.3. The planetary trend over the past 6 hours is falling — the magnetosphere near Umraniye is in the recovery phase. So far this month the planet has logged 2 days with a G1 or stronger geomagnetic storm.
Aurora visibility threshold for Umraniye. At a geomagnetic latitude of 38.5°, the minimum Kp giving a realistic chance of visible auroras above Umraniye is about Kp ≥ 9. The current equatorial Dst index is 0 nT — the magnetosphere is in a quiet phase. Dst complements Kp by showing how long and how deep a storm's main phase has been — useful context when checking whether auroras are likely tonight.
Weather and atmospheric pressure in Umraniye right now. Temperature +18.9°C, atmospheric pressure 748.3 mm Hg (997.6 hPa), cloud cover 16%, humidity 83%, wind 7.1 km/h. During G1+ geomagnetic storms, swings in atmospheric pressure tend to amplify symptoms for weather-sensitive people: those with hypertension often notice blood-pressure spikes, and readings below 1000 hPa combined with Kp ≥ 5 frequently bring headaches and fatigue. That is why the Umraniye page shows both indicators side by side. Weather data from Open-Meteo (CC BY).
Aurora viewing window for Umraniye tonight. Sunset is at 20:35 local time, sunrise tomorrow at 05:30. Moon phase — waning crescent with 10% disk illumination. Clear sky and low moonlight make the window favorable — with enough Kp, the aurora may be visible even from within city limits..