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Magnetic · Storms

Magnetic storms in Mesa

Magnetic storms in Mesa, Arizona today. Current Kp index, 3-day forecast for Mesa, local time, geomagnetic latitude and aurora visibility chance.

0.0QUIET
Now
Quiet

Data as of 08 Oct, 08:20 (America/Phoenix).

Weather in Mesa

Temperature
+26.8°C
Pressure
724mm Hg
965.3 hPa
Cloud cover
0%
Humidity
39%
Wind
8.4 km/h
Sunrise
20:26
Sunset
08:02
Moon phase
waning crescent (8%)

Weather data: Open-Meteo (CC BY).

Local context

Local time
08:20 (UTC-7)
Latitude / longitude
33.422°, -111.823°
Geomagnetic latitude
40.4°
Population
471,825

Sensitivity · Mesa

Low sensitivity (low latitudes)

Aurora visibility chance0%

Kp is a planetary index — the same globally. Local impact depends on geomagnetic latitude: the higher it is, the more noticeable the storm.

Auroraforecast for Mesa

14-day calendar with Kp, moon and cloud factors

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Geomagnetic context for Mesa

Max Kp in the last 7 days
5.7G1
Storm days (G1+) this week
2
Nearest magnetic observatory
Paratunka (Kamchatka)7102 km

Magnetic storm in Mesa: 3-day Kp chart

Magnetic storm forecast (UTC-7)Magnetosphere— calm— unsettled— storm0123456789KpG1G2G3G4G509/3010/0110/02
Aurora forecast in Mesa
  • Thu, Oct 080
    Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 12%Clouds: 1%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Fri, Oct 090
    Max Kp: 5.7Moon: 6%Clouds: 56%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sat, Oct 100
    Max Kp: 4.0Moon: 2%Clouds: 77%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sun, Oct 110
    Max Kp: 4.0Moon: 0%Clouds: 33%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Mon, Oct 120
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 0%Clouds: 84%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Tue, Oct 130
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 3%Clouds: 92%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Wed, Oct 140
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 8%Clouds: 8%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Thu, Oct 150
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 14%Clouds: 0%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Fri, Oct 160
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 22%Clouds: 0%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sat, Oct 170
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 32%Clouds: 0%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sun, Oct 180
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 42%Clouds: 0%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Mon, Oct 190
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 52%Clouds: 0%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Tue, Oct 200
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 63%Clouds: 0%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Wed, Oct 210
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 73%Clouds: 0%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.

* Days marked with an asterisk do not have a direct NOAA forecast yet. If we have observations from 27 days ago, we use Bartels recurrence (the Sun rotates roughly every 27 days, so active regions often return with the same period). When no history is available, we substitute a baseline value typical for the current solar cycle 25 peak (Kp 3.0). Accuracy is lower than the direct three-day forecast.

How the score works

The composite score combines three signals: how strong the storm needs to be at your geomagnetic latitude, how bright the moon will be (a full moon hides faint auroras), and how cloudy the sky will be that night. A score of 70 or higher is excellent, 45 to 70 is good, below 20 means you probably will not see anything.

Magnetic storms in Mesa over the last 30 days

Geomagnetic storms of class G1 and above recorded over the past month. Times are shown in the city's local timezone (MST).

In Mesa (geomagnetic latitude 40.4°), auroras are extremely rare even during strong storms.

Class G1+ geomagnetic storms in Mesa over the last 30 days
DatePeakMax KpLevelDurationAurora visible
20:005.3G13 hNo
11:005.7G13 hNo
02:005.0G13 hNo
Open full 30-day Kp chart

Nearby cities

About magnetic storms in Mesa

Magnetic storm in Mesa today: planetary Kp = 0.0 (quiet). Over the last 7 days the maximum Kp above Mesa reached 5.7 (G1); storm days (G1+) this week: 2.

Mesa sits at geomagnetic latitude 40.4°. The nearest magnetic observatory continuously recording the field is Paratunka (Kamchatka), 7102 km away. Population 471,825.

Mesa sits at low latitudes (40.4°), where geomagnetic storms have very limited impact on health. Scientific links between Kp and well-being are weak this far from the auroral oval, and only the strongest Carrington-class events would be expected to affect sensitive groups. Standard healthy habits, good sleep, hydration and moderate activity, remain the most reliable advice.

Technical systems in Mesa (40.4°, low latitudes) are well shielded from geomagnetic disturbances. Even extreme storms rarely cause meaningful GPS, radio or power-grid problems at this latitude, so routine activity, navigation and communications can be considered safe. For reference and historical events, data come from the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, updated every 10 minutes.

Over Mesa during the last 24 hours. Kp reached a maximum of 2.3 around 11:00 local time and dipped to 1.0. The planetary trend over the past 6 hours is rising — conditions near Mesa may intensify further. So far this month the planet has logged 2 days with a G1 or stronger geomagnetic storm.

Aurora visibility threshold for Mesa. At a geomagnetic latitude of 40.4°, the minimum Kp giving a realistic chance of visible auroras above Mesa is about Kp ≥ 8. The current equatorial Dst index is 0 nT — the magnetosphere is in a quiet phase. Dst complements Kp by showing how long and how deep a storm's main phase has been — useful context when checking whether auroras are likely tonight.

Weather and atmospheric pressure in Mesa right now. Temperature +26.8°C, atmospheric pressure 724 mm Hg (965.3 hPa), cloud cover 0%, humidity 39%, wind 8.4 km/h. During G1+ geomagnetic storms, swings in atmospheric pressure tend to amplify symptoms for weather-sensitive people: those with hypertension often notice blood-pressure spikes, and readings below 1000 hPa combined with Kp ≥ 5 frequently bring headaches and fatigue. That is why the Mesa page shows both indicators side by side. Weather data from Open-Meteo (CC BY).

Aurora viewing window for Mesa tonight. Sunset is at 08:02 local time, sunrise tomorrow at 20:26. Moon phase — waning crescent with 8% disk illumination. Clear sky and low moonlight make the window favorable — with enough Kp, the aurora may be visible even from within city limits..