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Magnetic · Storms

Magnetic storms in Tosno

Magnetic storms in Tosno, Leningradskaya Oblast' today. Current Kp index, 3-day forecast for Tosno, local time, geomagnetic latitude and aurora visibility chance.

1.7QUIET
Now
Quiet

Data as of 08 Oct, 13:29 (Europe/Moscow).

Weather in Tosno

Temperature
+6.7°C
Pressure
759.1mm Hg
1012.1 hPa
Cloud cover
98%
Humidity
96%
Wind
6.1 km/h
Sunrise
07:17
Sunset
18:09
Moon phase
waning crescent (10%)

Weather data: Open-Meteo (CC BY).

Local context

Local time
13:29 (UTC+3)
Latitude / longitude
59.540°, 30.878°
Geomagnetic latitude
56.2°
Population
40,198

Sensitivity · Tosno

High sensitivity (sub-auroral zone)

Aurora visibility chance0%

Kp is a planetary index — the same globally. Local impact depends on geomagnetic latitude: the higher it is, the more noticeable the storm.

Auroraforecast for Tosno

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Geomagnetic context for Tosno

Max Kp in the last 7 days
5.7G1
Storm days (G1+) this week
2
Nearest magnetic observatory
Saint Petersburg (Voeikovo)47 km

Magnetic storm in Tosno: 3-day Kp chart

Magnetic storm forecast (UTC+3)Magnetosphere— calm— unsettled— storm0123456789KpG1G2G3G4G512:0012:0012:0010/0110/0210/03
Aurora forecast in Tosno
  • Thu, Oct 081
    Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 12%Clouds: 76%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Fri, Oct 090
    Max Kp: 5.7Moon: 6%Clouds: 100%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sat, Oct 100
    Max Kp: 4.0Moon: 2%Clouds: 99%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sun, Oct 111
    Max Kp: 4.0Moon: 0%Clouds: 97%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Mon, Oct 120
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 0%Clouds: 93%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Tue, Oct 133
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 3%Clouds: 49%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Wed, Oct 140
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 8%Clouds: 97%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Thu, Oct 152
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 14%Clouds: 50%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Fri, Oct 161
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 22%Clouds: 81%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sat, Oct 170
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 32%Clouds: 100%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sun, Oct 180
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 42%Clouds: 100%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Mon, Oct 190
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 52%Clouds: 100%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Tue, Oct 202
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 63%Clouds: 50%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Wed, Oct 211
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 73%Clouds: 73%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.

* Days marked with an asterisk do not have a direct NOAA forecast yet. If we have observations from 27 days ago, we use Bartels recurrence (the Sun rotates roughly every 27 days, so active regions often return with the same period). When no history is available, we substitute a baseline value typical for the current solar cycle 25 peak (Kp 3.0). Accuracy is lower than the direct three-day forecast.

How the score works

The composite score combines three signals: how strong the storm needs to be at your geomagnetic latitude, how bright the moon will be (a full moon hides faint auroras), and how cloudy the sky will be that night. A score of 70 or higher is excellent, 45 to 70 is good, below 20 means you probably will not see anything.

Magnetic storms in Tosno over the last 30 days

Geomagnetic storms of class G1 and above recorded over the past month. Times are shown in the city's local timezone (GMT+3).

In Tosno (geomagnetic latitude 56.2°), auroras are possible from Kp ≥ 6.

Class G1+ geomagnetic storms in Tosno over the last 30 days
DatePeakMax KpLevelDurationAurora visible
06:005.3G13 hNo
21:005.7G13 hYes
12:005.0G13 hNo
Open full 30-day Kp chart

Nearby cities

About magnetic storms in Tosno

Magnetic storm in Tosno today: planetary Kp = 1.7 (quiet). Over the last 7 days the maximum Kp above Tosno reached 5.7 (G1); storm days (G1+) this week: 2.

Tosno sits at geomagnetic latitude 56.2°. The nearest magnetic observatory continuously recording the field is Saint Petersburg (Voeikovo), 47 km away. Population 40,198.

Tosno lies in the sub-auroral zone (56.2°), where storms are felt several times per year. At G3 and stronger, weather-sensitive residents may experience blood-pressure changes, headaches and sleep issues; pensioners and people with hypertension should watch the forecast. During a storm, drink more water, avoid alcohol and strong coffee, and reduce intense physical exertion.

Technical consequences for Tosno (sub-auroral zone, 56.2°) appear from G4 upward: GPS and HF radio may degrade, precise positioning can drift, and northern power grids in the region carry a measurable GIC risk during the strongest events. Drivers on long routes should track the forecast for the next 24 to 72 hours. Source: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, updated every 10 minutes.

Over Tosno during the last 24 hours. Kp reached a maximum of 2.7 around 18:00 local time and dipped to 1.0. The planetary trend over the past 6 hours is steady — no sharp changes near Tosno right now. So far this month the planet has logged 2 days with a G1 or stronger geomagnetic storm.

Aurora visibility threshold for Tosno. At a geomagnetic latitude of 56.2°, the minimum Kp giving a realistic chance of visible auroras above Tosno is about Kp ≥ 5. The current equatorial Dst index is 0 nT — the magnetosphere is in a quiet phase. Dst complements Kp by showing how long and how deep a storm's main phase has been — useful context when checking whether auroras are likely tonight.

Weather and atmospheric pressure in Tosno right now. Temperature +6.7°C, atmospheric pressure 759.1 mm Hg (1012.1 hPa), cloud cover 98%, humidity 96%, wind 6.1 km/h. During G1+ geomagnetic storms, swings in atmospheric pressure tend to amplify symptoms for weather-sensitive people: those with hypertension often notice blood-pressure spikes, and readings below 1000 hPa combined with Kp ≥ 5 frequently bring headaches and fatigue. That is why the Tosno page shows both indicators side by side. Weather data from Open-Meteo (CC BY).

Aurora viewing window for Tosno tonight. Sunset is at 18:09 local time, sunrise tomorrow at 07:17. Moon phase — waning crescent with 10% disk illumination. Heavy cloud cover lowers the chance of seeing auroras even during a strong storm — it may be worth waiting for the next clear night..