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Magnetic · Storms

Magnetic storms in Orsk

Magnetic storms in Orsk, Orenburg Oblast today. Current Kp index, 3-day forecast for Orsk, local time, geomagnetic latitude and aurora visibility chance.

0.0QUIET
Now
Quiet

Data as of 24 Aug, 12:43 (Asia/Yekaterinburg).

Weather in Orsk

Temperature
+16°C
Pressure
744.7mm Hg
992.9 hPa
Cloud cover
0%
Humidity
68%
Wind
7.6 km/h
Sunrise
08:06
Sunset
22:10
Moon phase
waxing gibbous (85%)

Weather data: Open-Meteo (CC BY).

Local context

Local time
12:43 (UTC+5)
Latitude / longitude
51.232°, 58.488°
Geomagnetic latitude
44.6°
Population
246,836

Sensitivity · Orsk

Low sensitivity (low latitudes)

Aurora visibility chance0%

Kp is a planetary index — the same globally. Local impact depends on geomagnetic latitude: the higher it is, the more noticeable the storm.

Auroraforecast for Orsk

14-day calendar with Kp, moon and cloud factors

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Geomagnetic context for Orsk

Max Kp in the last 7 days
5.3G1
Storm days (G1+) this week
2
Nearest magnetic observatory
Kazan799 km

Magnetic storm in Orsk: 3-day Kp chart

Magnetic storm forecast (UTC+5)Magnetospherecalmunsettledstorm0123456789KpG1G2G3G4G508/1708/1808/19
Aurora forecast in Orsk
  • Mon, Aug 240
    Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 82%Clouds: 21%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Tue, Aug 250
    Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 90%Clouds: 17%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Wed, Aug 260
    Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 95%Clouds: 51%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Thu, Aug 270
    Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 99%Clouds: 29%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Fri, Aug 280
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 100%Clouds: 44%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sat, Aug 290
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 99%Clouds: 69%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sun, Aug 300
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 96%Clouds: 7%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Mon, Aug 310
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 91%Clouds: 4%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Tue, Sep 010
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 84%Clouds: 38%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Wed, Sep 020
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 75%Clouds: 53%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Thu, Sep 030
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 65%Clouds: 81%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Fri, Sep 040
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 55%Clouds: 6%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sat, Sep 050
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 44%Clouds: 1%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sun, Sep 060
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 34%Clouds: 22%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.

* Days marked with an asterisk do not have a direct NOAA forecast yet. If we have observations from 27 days ago, we use Bartels recurrence (the Sun rotates roughly every 27 days, so active regions often return with the same period). When no history is available, we substitute a baseline value typical for the current solar cycle 25 peak (Kp 3.0). Accuracy is lower than the direct three-day forecast.

How the score works

The composite score combines three signals: how strong the storm needs to be at your geomagnetic latitude, how bright the moon will be (a full moon hides faint auroras), and how cloudy the sky will be that night. A score of 70 or higher is excellent, 45 to 70 is good, below 20 means you probably will not see anything.

Magnetic storms in Orsk over the last 30 days

Geomagnetic storms of class G1 and above recorded over the past month. Times are shown in the city's local timezone (GMT+5).

In Orsk (geomagnetic latitude 44.6°), auroras are extremely rare even during strong storms.

Class G1+ geomagnetic storms in Orsk over the last 30 days
DatePeakMax KpLevelDurationAurora visible
08:005.0G13 hNo
23:005.3G13 hNo
08:005.0G13 hNo
Open full 30-day Kp chart

Nearby cities

About magnetic storms in Orsk

Magnetic storm in Orsk today: planetary Kp = 0.0 (quiet). Over the last 7 days the maximum Kp above Orsk reached 5.3 (G1); storm days (G1+) this week: 2.

Orsk sits at geomagnetic latitude 44.6°. The nearest magnetic observatory continuously recording the field is Kazan, 799 km away. Population 246,836.

Orsk sits at low latitudes (44.6°), where geomagnetic storms have very limited impact on health. Scientific links between Kp and well-being are weak this far from the auroral oval, and only the strongest Carrington-class events would be expected to affect sensitive groups. Standard healthy habits, good sleep, hydration and moderate activity, remain the most reliable advice.

Technical systems in Orsk (44.6°, low latitudes) are well shielded from geomagnetic disturbances. Even extreme storms rarely cause meaningful GPS, radio or power-grid problems at this latitude, so routine activity, navigation and communications can be considered safe. For reference and historical events, data come from the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, updated every 10 minutes.

Over Orsk during the last 24 hours. Kp reached a maximum of 2.3 around 05:00 local time and dipped to 0.7. The planetary trend over the past 6 hours is steady — no sharp changes near Orsk right now. So far this month the planet has logged 2 days with a G1 or stronger geomagnetic storm.

Aurora visibility threshold for Orsk. At a geomagnetic latitude of 44.6°, the minimum Kp giving a realistic chance of visible auroras above Orsk is about Kp ≥ 8. The current equatorial Dst index is 0 nT — the magnetosphere is in a quiet phase. Dst complements Kp by showing how long and how deep a storm's main phase has been — useful context when checking whether auroras are likely tonight.

Weather and atmospheric pressure in Orsk right now. Temperature +16°C, atmospheric pressure 744.7 mm Hg (992.9 hPa), cloud cover 0%, humidity 68%, wind 7.6 km/h. During G1+ geomagnetic storms, swings in atmospheric pressure tend to amplify symptoms for weather-sensitive people: those with hypertension often notice blood-pressure spikes, and readings below 1000 hPa combined with Kp ≥ 5 frequently bring headaches and fatigue. That is why the Orsk page shows both indicators side by side. Weather data from Open-Meteo (CC BY).

Aurora viewing window for Orsk tonight. Sunset is at 22:10 local time, sunrise tomorrow at 08:06. Moon phase — waxing gibbous with 85% disk illumination. The Moon is close to full tonight, so moonlight will be strong and faint auroras will be harder to spot — wait for Kp ≥ 6 or pick a darker site..