Magnetic storms in Pavlovsk
Magnetic storms in Pavlovsk, Saint Petersburg today. Current Kp index, 3-day forecast for Pavlovsk, local time, geomagnetic latitude and aurora visibility chance.
Data as of 08 Oct, 20:05 (Europe/Moscow).
Weather in Pavlovsk
Weather data: Open-Meteo (CC BY).
Health and geomagnetic storms
A small library on how geomagnetic activity is associated with blood pressure, migraine, sleep, the cardiovascular system, anxiety and general wellbeing. Backed by peer-reviewed research, free of medical advice.
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Local context
Sensitivity · Pavlovsk
High sensitivity (sub-auroral zone)
Kp is a planetary index — the same globally. Local impact depends on geomagnetic latitude: the higher it is, the more noticeable the storm.
14-day calendar with Kp, moon and cloud factors
Seven quick questions and personal tips
Geomagnetic context for Pavlovsk
Magnetic storm in Pavlovsk: 3-day Kp chart
Aurora forecast in Pavlovsk
| Date | Max Kp | Moon | Clouds | Score | Outlook |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 08 | 1.7 | 12% | 81% | 1 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Fri, Oct 09 | 5.7 | 6% | 100% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Sat, Oct 10 | 4.0 | 2% | 99% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Sun, Oct 11 | 4.0 | 0% | 95% | 1 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Mon, Oct 12 | 3.0* | 0% | 90% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Tue, Oct 13 | 3.0* | 3% | 38% | 3 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Wed, Oct 14 | 3.0* | 8% | 99% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Thu, Oct 15 | 3.0* | 14% | 43% | 3 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Fri, Oct 16 | 3.0* | 22% | 75% | 1 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Sat, Oct 17 | 3.0* | 32% | 98% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Sun, Oct 18 | 3.0* | 42% | 94% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Mon, Oct 19 | 3.0* | 52% | 100% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Tue, Oct 20 | 3.0* | 63% | 46% | 2 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Wed, Oct 21 | 3.0* | 73% | 74% | 1 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
- Thu, Oct 081Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 12%Clouds: 81%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Fri, Oct 090Max Kp: 5.7Moon: 6%Clouds: 100%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Sat, Oct 100Max Kp: 4.0Moon: 2%Clouds: 99%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Sun, Oct 111Max Kp: 4.0Moon: 0%Clouds: 95%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Mon, Oct 120Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 0%Clouds: 90%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Tue, Oct 133Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 3%Clouds: 38%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Wed, Oct 140Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 8%Clouds: 99%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Thu, Oct 153Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 14%Clouds: 43%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Fri, Oct 161Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 22%Clouds: 75%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Sat, Oct 170Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 32%Clouds: 98%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Sun, Oct 180Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 42%Clouds: 94%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Mon, Oct 190Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 52%Clouds: 100%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Tue, Oct 202Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 63%Clouds: 46%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Wed, Oct 211Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 73%Clouds: 74%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
* Days marked with an asterisk do not have a direct NOAA forecast yet. If we have observations from 27 days ago, we use Bartels recurrence (the Sun rotates roughly every 27 days, so active regions often return with the same period). When no history is available, we substitute a baseline value typical for the current solar cycle 25 peak (Kp 3.0). Accuracy is lower than the direct three-day forecast.
How the score works
The composite score combines three signals: how strong the storm needs to be at your geomagnetic latitude, how bright the moon will be (a full moon hides faint auroras), and how cloudy the sky will be that night. A score of 70 or higher is excellent, 45 to 70 is good, below 20 means you probably will not see anything.
Magnetic storms in Pavlovsk over the last 30 days
Geomagnetic storms of class G1 and above recorded over the past month. Times are shown in the city's local timezone (GMT+3).
In Pavlovsk (geomagnetic latitude 56.4°), auroras are possible from Kp ≥ 6.
| Date | Peak | Max Kp | Level | Duration | Aurora visible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 5.3 | G1 | 3 h | Yes | |
| 21:00 | 5.7 | G1 | 3 h | Yes | |
| 12:00 | 5.0 | G1 | 3 h | No |
Nearby cities
About magnetic storms in Pavlovsk
Magnetic storm in Pavlovsk today: planetary Kp = 1.0 (quiet). Over the last 7 days the maximum Kp above Pavlovsk reached 5.7 (G1); storm days (G1+) this week: 2.
Pavlovsk sits at geomagnetic latitude 56.4°. The nearest magnetic observatory continuously recording the field is Saint Petersburg (Voeikovo), 33 km away. Population 16,087.
Pavlovsk lies in the sub-auroral zone (56.4°), where storms are felt several times per year. At G3 and stronger, weather-sensitive residents may experience blood-pressure changes, headaches and sleep issues; pensioners and people with hypertension should watch the forecast. During a storm, drink more water, avoid alcohol and strong coffee, and reduce intense physical exertion.
Technical consequences for Pavlovsk (sub-auroral zone, 56.4°) appear from G4 upward: GPS and HF radio may degrade, precise positioning can drift, and northern power grids in the region carry a measurable GIC risk during the strongest events. Drivers on long routes should track the forecast for the next 24 to 72 hours. Source: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, updated every 10 minutes.
Over Pavlovsk during the last 24 hours. Kp reached a maximum of 2.3 around 21:00 local time and dipped to 1.0. The planetary trend over the past 6 hours is rising — conditions near Pavlovsk may intensify further. So far this month the planet has logged 2 days with a G1 or stronger geomagnetic storm.
Aurora visibility threshold for Pavlovsk. At a geomagnetic latitude of 56.4°, the minimum Kp giving a realistic chance of visible auroras above Pavlovsk is about Kp ≥ 5. The current equatorial Dst index is 0 nT — the magnetosphere is in a quiet phase. Dst complements Kp by showing how long and how deep a storm's main phase has been — useful context when checking whether auroras are likely tonight.
Weather and atmospheric pressure in Pavlovsk right now. Temperature +7.3°C, atmospheric pressure 758.8 mm Hg (1011.6 hPa), cloud cover 90%, humidity 93%, wind 8.6 km/h. During G1+ geomagnetic storms, swings in atmospheric pressure tend to amplify symptoms for weather-sensitive people: those with hypertension often notice blood-pressure spikes, and readings below 1000 hPa combined with Kp ≥ 5 frequently bring headaches and fatigue. That is why the Pavlovsk page shows both indicators side by side. Weather data from Open-Meteo (CC BY).
Aurora viewing window for Pavlovsk tonight. Sunset is at 18:10 local time, sunrise tomorrow at 07:19. Moon phase — waning crescent with 8% disk illumination. Heavy cloud cover lowers the chance of seeing auroras even during a strong storm — it may be worth waiting for the next clear night..