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Magnetic · Storms

Magnetic storms in Pavlovsk

Magnetic storms in Pavlovsk, Saint Petersburg today. Current Kp index, 3-day forecast for Pavlovsk, local time, geomagnetic latitude and aurora visibility chance.

3.3QUIET
Now
Quiet

Data as of 12 Jun, 10:14 (Europe/Moscow).

Weather in Pavlovsk

Temperature
+23°C
Pressure
754.6mm Hg
1006 hPa
Cloud cover
49%
Humidity
67%
Wind
17.6 km/h
Sunrise
03:39
Sunset
22:16
Moon phase
waning crescent (10%)

Weather data: Open-Meteo (CC BY).

Local context

Local time
10:14 (UTC+3)
Latitude / longitude
59.683°, 30.435°
Geomagnetic latitude
56.4°
Population
16,087

Sensitivity · Pavlovsk

High sensitivity (sub-auroral zone)

Aurora visibility chance11%

Kp is a planetary index — the same globally. Local impact depends on geomagnetic latitude: the higher it is, the more noticeable the storm.

Auroraforecast for Pavlovsk

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Geomagnetic context for Pavlovsk

Max Kp in the last 7 days
6.3G2
Storm days (G1+) this week
2
Nearest magnetic observatory
Saint Petersburg (Voeikovo)33 km

Magnetic storm in Pavlovsk: 3-day Kp chart

Magnetic storm forecast (UTC+3)Magnetospherecalmunsettledstorm0123456789KpG1G2G3G4G512:0012:0012:0006/0506/0606/07
Aurora forecast in Pavlovsk
  • Fri, Jun 1211
    Max Kp: 4.7Moon: 12%Clouds: 53%
    Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
  • Sat, Jun 130
    Max Kp: 5.7Moon: 6%Clouds: 100%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sun, Jun 149
    Max Kp: 4.7Moon: 2%Clouds: 63%
    Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
  • Mon, Jun 151
    Max Kp: 2.0Moon: 0%Clouds: 77%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Tue, Jun 160
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 1%Clouds: 100%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Wed, Jun 170
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 3%Clouds: 100%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Thu, Jun 180
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 8%Clouds: 100%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Fri, Jun 193
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 15%Clouds: 45%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sat, Jun 203
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 23%Clouds: 20%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Sun, Jun 212
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 33%Clouds: 57%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Mon, Jun 223
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 43%Clouds: 28%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Tue, Jun 232
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 54%Clouds: 30%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Wed, Jun 242
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 64%Clouds: 23%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
  • Thu, Jun 252
    Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 74%Clouds: 17%
    Auroras are very unlikely tonight.

* Days marked with an asterisk do not have a direct NOAA forecast yet. If we have observations from 27 days ago, we use Bartels recurrence (the Sun rotates roughly every 27 days, so active regions often return with the same period). When no history is available, we substitute a baseline value typical for the current solar cycle 25 peak (Kp 3.0). Accuracy is lower than the direct three-day forecast.

How the score works

The composite score combines three signals: how strong the storm needs to be at your geomagnetic latitude, how bright the moon will be (a full moon hides faint auroras), and how cloudy the sky will be that night. A score of 70 or higher is excellent, 45 to 70 is good, below 20 means you probably will not see anything.

Magnetic storms in Pavlovsk over the last 30 days

Geomagnetic storms of class G1 and above recorded over the past month. Times are shown in the city's local timezone (GMT+3).

In Pavlovsk (geomagnetic latitude 56.4°), auroras are possible from Kp ≥ 6.

Class G1+ geomagnetic storms in Pavlovsk over the last 30 days
DatePeakMax KpLevelDurationAurora visible
21:005.0G13 hNo
18:006.3G212 hYes
Open full 30-day Kp chart

Nearby cities

About magnetic storms in Pavlovsk

Magnetic storm in Pavlovsk today: planetary Kp = 3.3 (quiet). Over the last 7 days the maximum Kp above Pavlovsk reached 6.3 (G2); storm days (G1+) this week: 2.

Pavlovsk sits at geomagnetic latitude 56.4°. The nearest magnetic observatory continuously recording the field is Saint Petersburg (Voeikovo), 33 km away. Population 16,087.

Pavlovsk lies in the sub-auroral zone (56.4°), where storms are felt several times per year. At G3 and stronger, weather-sensitive residents may experience blood-pressure changes, headaches and sleep issues; pensioners and people with hypertension should watch the forecast. During a storm, drink more water, avoid alcohol and strong coffee, and reduce intense physical exertion.

Technical consequences for Pavlovsk (sub-auroral zone, 56.4°) appear from G4 upward: GPS and HF radio may degrade, precise positioning can drift, and northern power grids in the region carry a measurable GIC risk during the strongest events. Drivers on long routes should track the forecast for the next 24 to 72 hours. Source: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, updated every 10 minutes.

Over Pavlovsk during the last 24 hours. Kp reached a maximum of 5.0 around 21:00 local time and dipped to 2.3. The planetary trend over the past 6 hours is falling — the magnetosphere near Pavlovsk is in the recovery phase. So far this month the planet has logged 2 days with a G1 or stronger geomagnetic storm.

Aurora visibility threshold for Pavlovsk. At a geomagnetic latitude of 56.4°, the minimum Kp giving a realistic chance of visible auroras above Pavlovsk is about Kp ≥ 5. The current equatorial Dst index is 0 nT — the magnetosphere is in a quiet phase. Dst complements Kp by showing how long and how deep a storm's main phase has been — useful context when checking whether auroras are likely tonight.

Weather and atmospheric pressure in Pavlovsk right now. Temperature +23°C, atmospheric pressure 754.6 mm Hg (1006 hPa), cloud cover 49%, humidity 67%, wind 17.6 km/h. During G1+ geomagnetic storms, swings in atmospheric pressure tend to amplify symptoms for weather-sensitive people: those with hypertension often notice blood-pressure spikes, and readings below 1000 hPa combined with Kp ≥ 5 frequently bring headaches and fatigue. That is why the Pavlovsk page shows both indicators side by side. Weather data from Open-Meteo (CC BY).

Aurora viewing window for Pavlovsk tonight. Sunset is at 22:16 local time, sunrise tomorrow at 03:39. Moon phase — waning crescent with 10% disk illumination. Conditions are average — watch the cloud forecast and find a spot well away from city lights..