Magnetic storms in Monchegorsk
Magnetic storms in Monchegorsk, Murmansk Oblast today. Current Kp index, 3-day forecast for Monchegorsk, local time, geomagnetic latitude and aurora visibility chance.
Data as of 24 Aug, 07:44 (Europe/Moscow).
Weather in Monchegorsk
Weather data: Open-Meteo (CC BY).
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Local context
Sensitivity · Monchegorsk
High sensitivity (sub-auroral zone)
Kp is a planetary index — the same globally. Local impact depends on geomagnetic latitude: the higher it is, the more noticeable the storm.
14-day calendar with Kp, moon and cloud factors
Seven quick questions and personal tips
Geomagnetic context for Monchegorsk
Magnetic storm in Monchegorsk: 3-day Kp chart
Aurora forecast in Monchegorsk
| Date | Max Kp | Moon | Clouds | Score | Outlook |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Aug 23 | — | 73% | 99% | — | Kp forecast is not yet available for this date. |
| Mon, Aug 24 | 1.7 | 82% | 91% | 1 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Tue, Aug 25 | 1.7 | 90% | 80% | 3 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Wed, Aug 26 | 1.7 | 95% | 77% | 3 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Thu, Aug 27 | 1.7 | 99% | 61% | 4 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Fri, Aug 28 | 3.0* | 100% | 56% | 13 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Sat, Aug 29 | 3.0* | 99% | 41% | 17 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Sun, Aug 30 | 3.0* | 96% | 68% | 10 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Mon, Aug 31 | 3.0* | 91% | 59% | 13 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Tue, Sep 01 | 3.0* | 84% | 50% | 17 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Wed, Sep 02 | 3.0* | 75% | 25% | 29 | Possible if you are away from city lights. |
| Thu, Sep 03 | 3.0* | 65% | 88% | 5 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Fri, Sep 04 | 3.0* | 55% | 64% | 16 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Sat, Sep 05 | 3.0* | 44% | 69% | 15 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Sun, Sep 06 | 3.0* | 34% | — | 37 | Possible if you are away from city lights. |
- Sun, Aug 23no dataMax Kp: —Moon: 73%Clouds: 99%Kp forecast is not yet available for this date.
- Mon, Aug 241Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 82%Clouds: 91%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Tue, Aug 253Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 90%Clouds: 80%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Wed, Aug 263Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 95%Clouds: 77%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Thu, Aug 274Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 99%Clouds: 61%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Fri, Aug 2813Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 100%Clouds: 56%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Sat, Aug 2917Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 99%Clouds: 41%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Sun, Aug 3010Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 96%Clouds: 68%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Mon, Aug 3113Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 91%Clouds: 59%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Tue, Sep 0117Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 84%Clouds: 50%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Wed, Sep 0229Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 75%Clouds: 25%Possible if you are away from city lights.
- Thu, Sep 035Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 65%Clouds: 88%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Fri, Sep 0416Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 55%Clouds: 64%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Sat, Sep 0515Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 44%Clouds: 69%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Sun, Sep 0637Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 34%Clouds: —Possible if you are away from city lights.
* Days marked with an asterisk do not have a direct NOAA forecast yet. If we have observations from 27 days ago, we use Bartels recurrence (the Sun rotates roughly every 27 days, so active regions often return with the same period). When no history is available, we substitute a baseline value typical for the current solar cycle 25 peak (Kp 3.0). Accuracy is lower than the direct three-day forecast.
How the score works
The composite score combines three signals: how strong the storm needs to be at your geomagnetic latitude, how bright the moon will be (a full moon hides faint auroras), and how cloudy the sky will be that night. A score of 70 or higher is excellent, 45 to 70 is good, below 20 means you probably will not see anything.
Magnetic storms in Monchegorsk over the last 30 days
Geomagnetic storms of class G1 and above recorded over the past month. Times are shown in the city's local timezone (GMT+3).
In Monchegorsk (geomagnetic latitude 63.9°), auroras are possible from Kp ≥ 2.
| Date | Peak | Max Kp | Level | Duration | Aurora visible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 5.0 | G1 | 3 h | Yes | |
| 21:00 | 5.3 | G1 | 3 h | Yes | |
| 06:00 | 5.0 | G1 | 3 h | Yes |
Nearby cities
About magnetic storms in Monchegorsk
Magnetic storm in Monchegorsk today: planetary Kp = 0.3 (quiet). Over the last 7 days the maximum Kp above Monchegorsk reached 5.3 (G1); storm days (G1+) this week: 2.
Monchegorsk sits at geomagnetic latitude 63.9°. The nearest magnetic observatory continuously recording the field is Lovozero (Murmansk), 92 km away. Population 49,868.
Monchegorsk lies in the sub-auroral zone (63.9°), where storms are felt several times per year. At G3 and stronger, weather-sensitive residents may experience blood-pressure changes, headaches and sleep issues; pensioners and people with hypertension should watch the forecast. During a storm, drink more water, avoid alcohol and strong coffee, and reduce intense physical exertion.
Technical consequences for Monchegorsk (sub-auroral zone, 63.9°) appear from G4 upward: GPS and HF radio may degrade, precise positioning can drift, and northern power grids in the region carry a measurable GIC risk during the strongest events. Drivers on long routes should track the forecast for the next 24 to 72 hours. Source: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, updated every 10 minutes.
Over Monchegorsk during the last 24 hours. Kp reached a maximum of 2.3 around 03:00 local time and dipped to 0.7. The planetary trend over the past 6 hours is rising — conditions near Monchegorsk may intensify further. So far this month the planet has logged 2 days with a G1 or stronger geomagnetic storm.
Aurora visibility threshold for Monchegorsk. At a geomagnetic latitude of 63.9°, the minimum Kp giving a realistic chance of visible auroras above Monchegorsk is about Kp ≥ 3. The current equatorial Dst index is 0 nT — the magnetosphere is in a quiet phase. Dst complements Kp by showing how long and how deep a storm's main phase has been — useful context when checking whether auroras are likely tonight.
Weather and atmospheric pressure in Monchegorsk right now. Temperature +11.4°C, atmospheric pressure 746.8 mm Hg (995.7 hPa), cloud cover 100%, humidity 94%, wind 16.2 km/h. During G1+ geomagnetic storms, swings in atmospheric pressure tend to amplify symptoms for weather-sensitive people: those with hypertension often notice blood-pressure spikes, and readings below 1000 hPa combined with Kp ≥ 5 frequently bring headaches and fatigue. That is why the Monchegorsk page shows both indicators side by side. Weather data from Open-Meteo (CC BY).
Aurora viewing window for Monchegorsk tonight. Sunset is at 21:00 local time, sunrise tomorrow at 04:41. Moon phase — waxing gibbous with 84% disk illumination. Heavy cloud cover lowers the chance of seeing auroras even during a strong storm — it may be worth waiting for the next clear night..