Magnetic storms in Monchegorsk
Magnetic storms in Monchegorsk, Murmansk Oblast today. Current Kp index, 3-day forecast for Monchegorsk, local time, geomagnetic latitude and aurora visibility chance.
Data as of 08 Oct, 11:59 (Europe/Moscow).
Weather in Monchegorsk
Weather data: Open-Meteo (CC BY).
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Local context
Sensitivity · Monchegorsk
High sensitivity (sub-auroral zone)
Kp is a planetary index — the same globally. Local impact depends on geomagnetic latitude: the higher it is, the more noticeable the storm.
14-day calendar with Kp, moon and cloud factors
Seven quick questions and personal tips
Geomagnetic context for Monchegorsk
Magnetic storm in Monchegorsk: 3-day Kp chart
Aurora forecast in Monchegorsk
| Date | Max Kp | Moon | Clouds | Score | Outlook |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 08 | 1.7 | 12% | 42% | 14 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Fri, Oct 09 | 5.7 | 6% | 44% | 49 | Worth checking the sky, good chance to see something. |
| Sat, Oct 10 | 4.0 | 2% | 66% | 22 | Possible if you are away from city lights. |
| Sun, Oct 11 | 4.0 | 0% | 67% | 21 | Possible if you are away from city lights. |
| Mon, Oct 12 | 3.0* | 0% | 58% | 27 | Possible if you are away from city lights. |
| Tue, Oct 13 | 3.0* | 3% | 53% | 30 | Possible if you are away from city lights. |
| Wed, Oct 14 | 3.0* | 8% | 95% | 3 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Thu, Oct 15 | 3.0* | 14% | 83% | 10 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Fri, Oct 16 | 3.0* | 22% | 72% | 16 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Sat, Oct 17 | 3.0* | 32% | 98% | 1 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Sun, Oct 18 | 3.0* | 42% | 69% | 15 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Mon, Oct 19 | 3.0* | 52% | 88% | 6 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Tue, Oct 20 | 3.0* | 63% | 71% | 12 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Wed, Oct 21 | 3.0* | 73% | 95% | 2 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
- Thu, Oct 0814Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 12%Clouds: 42%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Fri, Oct 0949Max Kp: 5.7Moon: 6%Clouds: 44%Worth checking the sky, good chance to see something.
- Sat, Oct 1022Max Kp: 4.0Moon: 2%Clouds: 66%Possible if you are away from city lights.
- Sun, Oct 1121Max Kp: 4.0Moon: 0%Clouds: 67%Possible if you are away from city lights.
- Mon, Oct 1227Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 0%Clouds: 58%Possible if you are away from city lights.
- Tue, Oct 1330Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 3%Clouds: 53%Possible if you are away from city lights.
- Wed, Oct 143Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 8%Clouds: 95%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Thu, Oct 1510Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 14%Clouds: 83%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Fri, Oct 1616Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 22%Clouds: 72%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Sat, Oct 171Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 32%Clouds: 98%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Sun, Oct 1815Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 42%Clouds: 69%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Mon, Oct 196Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 52%Clouds: 88%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Tue, Oct 2012Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 63%Clouds: 71%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Wed, Oct 212Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 73%Clouds: 95%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
* Days marked with an asterisk do not have a direct NOAA forecast yet. If we have observations from 27 days ago, we use Bartels recurrence (the Sun rotates roughly every 27 days, so active regions often return with the same period). When no history is available, we substitute a baseline value typical for the current solar cycle 25 peak (Kp 3.0). Accuracy is lower than the direct three-day forecast.
How the score works
The composite score combines three signals: how strong the storm needs to be at your geomagnetic latitude, how bright the moon will be (a full moon hides faint auroras), and how cloudy the sky will be that night. A score of 70 or higher is excellent, 45 to 70 is good, below 20 means you probably will not see anything.
Magnetic storms in Monchegorsk over the last 30 days
Geomagnetic storms of class G1 and above recorded over the past month. Times are shown in the city's local timezone (GMT+3).
In Monchegorsk (geomagnetic latitude 63.9°), auroras are possible from Kp ≥ 2.
| Date | Peak | Max Kp | Level | Duration | Aurora visible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 5.3 | G1 | 3 h | Yes | |
| 21:00 | 5.7 | G1 | 3 h | Yes | |
| 12:00 | 5.0 | G1 | 3 h | Yes |
Nearby cities
About magnetic storms in Monchegorsk
Magnetic storm in Monchegorsk today: planetary Kp = 0.7 (quiet). Over the last 7 days the maximum Kp above Monchegorsk reached 5.7 (G1); storm days (G1+) this week: 2.
Monchegorsk sits at geomagnetic latitude 63.9°. The nearest magnetic observatory continuously recording the field is Lovozero (Murmansk), 92 km away. Population 49,868.
Monchegorsk lies in the sub-auroral zone (63.9°), where storms are felt several times per year. At G3 and stronger, weather-sensitive residents may experience blood-pressure changes, headaches and sleep issues; pensioners and people with hypertension should watch the forecast. During a storm, drink more water, avoid alcohol and strong coffee, and reduce intense physical exertion.
Technical consequences for Monchegorsk (sub-auroral zone, 63.9°) appear from G4 upward: GPS and HF radio may degrade, precise positioning can drift, and northern power grids in the region carry a measurable GIC risk during the strongest events. Drivers on long routes should track the forecast for the next 24 to 72 hours. Source: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, updated every 10 minutes.
Over Monchegorsk during the last 24 hours. Kp reached a maximum of 2.7 around 18:00 local time and dipped to 0.7. The planetary trend over the past 6 hours is rising — conditions near Monchegorsk may intensify further. So far this month the planet has logged 2 days with a G1 or stronger geomagnetic storm.
Aurora visibility threshold for Monchegorsk. At a geomagnetic latitude of 63.9°, the minimum Kp giving a realistic chance of visible auroras above Monchegorsk is about Kp ≥ 3. The current equatorial Dst index is 0 nT — the magnetosphere is in a quiet phase. Dst complements Kp by showing how long and how deep a storm's main phase has been — useful context when checking whether auroras are likely tonight.
Weather and atmospheric pressure in Monchegorsk right now. Temperature +4.9°C, atmospheric pressure 738.4 mm Hg (984.4 hPa), cloud cover 16%, humidity 68%, wind 26.3 km/h. During G1+ geomagnetic storms, swings in atmospheric pressure tend to amplify symptoms for weather-sensitive people: those with hypertension often notice blood-pressure spikes, and readings below 1000 hPa combined with Kp ≥ 5 frequently bring headaches and fatigue. That is why the Monchegorsk page shows both indicators side by side. Weather data from Open-Meteo (CC BY).
Aurora viewing window for Monchegorsk tonight. Sunset is at 17:44 local time, sunrise tomorrow at 07:25. Moon phase — waning crescent with 10% disk illumination. Clear sky and low moonlight make the window favorable — with enough Kp, the aurora may be visible even from within city limits..