Magnetic storms in Severomorsk
Magnetic storms in Severomorsk, Murmansk Oblast today. Current Kp index, 3-day forecast for Severomorsk, local time, geomagnetic latitude and aurora visibility chance.
Data as of 08 Oct, 17:08 (Europe/Moscow).
Weather in Severomorsk
Weather data: Open-Meteo (CC BY).
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Local context
Sensitivity · Severomorsk
High sensitivity (sub-auroral zone)
Kp is a planetary index — the same globally. Local impact depends on geomagnetic latitude: the higher it is, the more noticeable the storm.
14-day calendar with Kp, moon and cloud factors
Seven quick questions and personal tips
Geomagnetic context for Severomorsk
Magnetic storm in Severomorsk: 3-day Kp chart
Aurora forecast in Severomorsk
| Date | Max Kp | Moon | Clouds | Score | Outlook |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 08 | 1.7 | 12% | 72% | 7 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Fri, Oct 09 | 5.7 | 6% | 25% | 65 | Worth checking the sky, good chance to see something. |
| Sat, Oct 10 | 4.0 | 2% | 66% | 22 | Possible if you are away from city lights. |
| Sun, Oct 11 | 4.0 | 0% | 36% | 42 | Possible if you are away from city lights. |
| Mon, Oct 12 | 3.0* | 0% | 71% | 19 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Tue, Oct 13 | 3.0* | 3% | 58% | 27 | Possible if you are away from city lights. |
| Wed, Oct 14 | 3.0* | 8% | 79% | 13 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Thu, Oct 15 | 3.0* | 14% | 89% | 7 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Fri, Oct 16 | 3.0* | 22% | 38% | 35 | Possible if you are away from city lights. |
| Sat, Oct 17 | 3.0* | 32% | 90% | 5 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Sun, Oct 18 | 3.0* | 42% | 62% | 19 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Mon, Oct 19 | 3.0* | 52% | 62% | 18 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Tue, Oct 20 | 3.0* | 63% | 76% | 10 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Wed, Oct 21 | 3.0* | 73% | 98% | 1 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
- Thu, Oct 087Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 12%Clouds: 72%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Fri, Oct 0965Max Kp: 5.7Moon: 6%Clouds: 25%Worth checking the sky, good chance to see something.
- Sat, Oct 1022Max Kp: 4.0Moon: 2%Clouds: 66%Possible if you are away from city lights.
- Sun, Oct 1142Max Kp: 4.0Moon: 0%Clouds: 36%Possible if you are away from city lights.
- Mon, Oct 1219Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 0%Clouds: 71%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Tue, Oct 1327Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 3%Clouds: 58%Possible if you are away from city lights.
- Wed, Oct 1413Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 8%Clouds: 79%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Thu, Oct 157Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 14%Clouds: 89%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Fri, Oct 1635Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 22%Clouds: 38%Possible if you are away from city lights.
- Sat, Oct 175Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 32%Clouds: 90%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Sun, Oct 1819Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 42%Clouds: 62%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Mon, Oct 1918Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 52%Clouds: 62%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Tue, Oct 2010Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 63%Clouds: 76%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Wed, Oct 211Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 73%Clouds: 98%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
* Days marked with an asterisk do not have a direct NOAA forecast yet. If we have observations from 27 days ago, we use Bartels recurrence (the Sun rotates roughly every 27 days, so active regions often return with the same period). When no history is available, we substitute a baseline value typical for the current solar cycle 25 peak (Kp 3.0). Accuracy is lower than the direct three-day forecast.
How the score works
The composite score combines three signals: how strong the storm needs to be at your geomagnetic latitude, how bright the moon will be (a full moon hides faint auroras), and how cloudy the sky will be that night. A score of 70 or higher is excellent, 45 to 70 is good, below 20 means you probably will not see anything.
Magnetic storms in Severomorsk over the last 30 days
Geomagnetic storms of class G1 and above recorded over the past month. Times are shown in the city's local timezone (GMT+3).
In Severomorsk (geomagnetic latitude 64.9°), auroras are possible from Kp ≥ 2.
| Date | Peak | Max Kp | Level | Duration | Aurora visible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 5.3 | G1 | 3 h | Yes | |
| 21:00 | 5.7 | G1 | 3 h | Yes | |
| 12:00 | 5.0 | G1 | 3 h | Yes |
Nearby cities
About magnetic storms in Severomorsk
Magnetic storm in Severomorsk today: planetary Kp = 0.7 (quiet). Over the last 7 days the maximum Kp above Severomorsk reached 5.7 (G1); storm days (G1+) this week: 2.
Severomorsk sits at geomagnetic latitude 64.9°. The nearest magnetic observatory continuously recording the field is Lovozero (Murmansk), 140 km away. Population 53,921.
Severomorsk lies in the sub-auroral zone (64.9°), where storms are felt several times per year. At G3 and stronger, weather-sensitive residents may experience blood-pressure changes, headaches and sleep issues; pensioners and people with hypertension should watch the forecast. During a storm, drink more water, avoid alcohol and strong coffee, and reduce intense physical exertion.
Technical consequences for Severomorsk (sub-auroral zone, 64.9°) appear from G4 upward: GPS and HF radio may degrade, precise positioning can drift, and northern power grids in the region carry a measurable GIC risk during the strongest events. Drivers on long routes should track the forecast for the next 24 to 72 hours. Source: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, updated every 10 minutes.
Over Severomorsk during the last 24 hours. Kp reached a maximum of 2.7 around 18:00 local time and dipped to 1.0. The planetary trend over the past 6 hours is steady — no sharp changes near Severomorsk right now. So far this month the planet has logged 2 days with a G1 or stronger geomagnetic storm.
Aurora visibility threshold for Severomorsk. At a geomagnetic latitude of 64.9°, the minimum Kp giving a realistic chance of visible auroras above Severomorsk is about Kp ≥ 3. The current equatorial Dst index is 0 nT — the magnetosphere is in a quiet phase. Dst complements Kp by showing how long and how deep a storm's main phase has been — useful context when checking whether auroras are likely tonight.
Weather and atmospheric pressure in Severomorsk right now. Temperature +5.4°C, atmospheric pressure 739.2 mm Hg (985.5 hPa), cloud cover 79%, humidity 65%, wind 38.9 km/h. During G1+ geomagnetic storms, swings in atmospheric pressure tend to amplify symptoms for weather-sensitive people: those with hypertension often notice blood-pressure spikes, and readings below 1000 hPa combined with Kp ≥ 5 frequently bring headaches and fatigue. That is why the Severomorsk page shows both indicators side by side. Weather data from Open-Meteo (CC BY).
Aurora viewing window for Severomorsk tonight. Sunset is at 17:39 local time, sunrise tomorrow at 07:26. Moon phase — waning crescent with 9% disk illumination. Heavy cloud cover lowers the chance of seeing auroras even during a strong storm — it may be worth waiting for the next clear night..