Magnetic storms in Polyarnyy
Magnetic storms in Polyarnyy, Murmansk Oblast today. Current Kp index, 3-day forecast for Polyarnyy, local time, geomagnetic latitude and aurora visibility chance.
Data as of 08 Oct, 11:51 (Europe/Moscow).
Weather in Polyarnyy
Weather data: Open-Meteo (CC BY).
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Local context
Sensitivity · Polyarnyy
Very high sensitivity (auroral zone)
Kp is a planetary index — the same globally. Local impact depends on geomagnetic latitude: the higher it is, the more noticeable the storm.
14-day calendar with Kp, moon and cloud factors
Seven quick questions and personal tips
Geomagnetic context for Polyarnyy
Magnetic storm in Polyarnyy: 3-day Kp chart
Aurora forecast in Polyarnyy
| Date | Max Kp | Moon | Clouds | Score | Outlook |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 08 | 1.7 | 12% | 75% | 19 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Fri, Oct 09 | 5.7 | 6% | 31% | 63 | Worth checking the sky, good chance to see something. |
| Sat, Oct 10 | 4.0 | 2% | 73% | 25 | Possible if you are away from city lights. |
| Sun, Oct 11 | 4.0 | 0% | 46% | 51 | Worth checking the sky, good chance to see something. |
| Mon, Oct 12 | 3.0* | 0% | 72% | 27 | Possible if you are away from city lights. |
| Tue, Oct 13 | 3.0* | 3% | 60% | 37 | Possible if you are away from city lights. |
| Wed, Oct 14 | 3.0* | 8% | 76% | 22 | Possible if you are away from city lights. |
| Thu, Oct 15 | 3.0* | 14% | 89% | 10 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Fri, Oct 16 | 3.0* | 22% | 38% | 52 | Worth checking the sky, good chance to see something. |
| Sat, Oct 17 | 3.0* | 32% | 85% | 12 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Sun, Oct 18 | 3.0* | 42% | 61% | 28 | Possible if you are away from city lights. |
| Mon, Oct 19 | 3.0* | 52% | 67% | 22 | Possible if you are away from city lights. |
| Tue, Oct 20 | 3.0* | 63% | 80% | 12 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Wed, Oct 21 | 3.0* | 73% | 98% | 1 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
- Thu, Oct 0819Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 12%Clouds: 75%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Fri, Oct 0963Max Kp: 5.7Moon: 6%Clouds: 31%Worth checking the sky, good chance to see something.
- Sat, Oct 1025Max Kp: 4.0Moon: 2%Clouds: 73%Possible if you are away from city lights.
- Sun, Oct 1151Max Kp: 4.0Moon: 0%Clouds: 46%Worth checking the sky, good chance to see something.
- Mon, Oct 1227Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 0%Clouds: 72%Possible if you are away from city lights.
- Tue, Oct 1337Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 3%Clouds: 60%Possible if you are away from city lights.
- Wed, Oct 1422Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 8%Clouds: 76%Possible if you are away from city lights.
- Thu, Oct 1510Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 14%Clouds: 89%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Fri, Oct 1652Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 22%Clouds: 38%Worth checking the sky, good chance to see something.
- Sat, Oct 1712Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 32%Clouds: 85%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Sun, Oct 1828Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 42%Clouds: 61%Possible if you are away from city lights.
- Mon, Oct 1922Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 52%Clouds: 67%Possible if you are away from city lights.
- Tue, Oct 2012Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 63%Clouds: 80%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Wed, Oct 211Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 73%Clouds: 98%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
* Days marked with an asterisk do not have a direct NOAA forecast yet. If we have observations from 27 days ago, we use Bartels recurrence (the Sun rotates roughly every 27 days, so active regions often return with the same period). When no history is available, we substitute a baseline value typical for the current solar cycle 25 peak (Kp 3.0). Accuracy is lower than the direct three-day forecast.
How the score works
The composite score combines three signals: how strong the storm needs to be at your geomagnetic latitude, how bright the moon will be (a full moon hides faint auroras), and how cloudy the sky will be that night. A score of 70 or higher is excellent, 45 to 70 is good, below 20 means you probably will not see anything.
Magnetic storms in Polyarnyy over the last 30 days
Geomagnetic storms of class G1 and above recorded over the past month. Times are shown in the city's local timezone (GMT+3).
In Polyarnyy (geomagnetic latitude 65.0°), auroras are possible from Kp ≥ 1.
| Date | Peak | Max Kp | Level | Duration | Aurora visible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 5.3 | G1 | 3 h | Yes | |
| 21:00 | 5.7 | G1 | 3 h | Yes | |
| 12:00 | 5.0 | G1 | 3 h | Yes |
Nearby cities
About magnetic storms in Polyarnyy
Magnetic storm in Polyarnyy today: planetary Kp = 0.7 (quiet). Over the last 7 days the maximum Kp above Polyarnyy reached 5.7 (G1); storm days (G1+) this week: 2.
Polyarnyy sits at geomagnetic latitude 65.0°. The nearest magnetic observatory continuously recording the field is Lovozero (Murmansk), 152 km away. Population 17,332.
Polyarnyy sits inside the auroral zone (geomagnetic latitude 65.0°), where residents are accustomed to magnetic storms as part of daily life. Even moderate disturbances at Kp ≥ 4 can affect weather-sensitive people here: pensioners, people with hypertension and those recovering from illness may notice pressure swings, headaches and disrupted sleep. During active periods, hydrate more, avoid alcohol and strong coffee, postpone intense physical load.
Technical impact in Polyarnyy (auroral zone, 65.0°) is the most pronounced. Polar aviation routes, GPS precision, HF radio links and northern power grids face elevated risk from geomagnetically induced currents (GIC) during G3 and stronger storms. Local infrastructure operators routinely monitor space weather. Data: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, refreshed every 10 minutes.
Over Polyarnyy during the last 24 hours. Kp reached a maximum of 2.7 around 18:00 local time and dipped to 0.7. The planetary trend over the past 6 hours is rising — conditions near Polyarnyy may intensify further. So far this month the planet has logged 2 days with a G1 or stronger geomagnetic storm.
Aurora visibility threshold for Polyarnyy. At a geomagnetic latitude of 65.0°, the minimum Kp giving a realistic chance of visible auroras above Polyarnyy is about Kp ≥ 3. The current equatorial Dst index is 0 nT — the magnetosphere is in a quiet phase. Dst complements Kp by showing how long and how deep a storm's main phase has been — useful context when checking whether auroras are likely tonight.
Weather and atmospheric pressure in Polyarnyy right now. Temperature +4.8°C, atmospheric pressure 742 mm Hg (989.3 hPa), cloud cover 92%, humidity 74%, wind 42.1 km/h. During G1+ geomagnetic storms, swings in atmospheric pressure tend to amplify symptoms for weather-sensitive people: those with hypertension often notice blood-pressure spikes, and readings below 1000 hPa combined with Kp ≥ 5 frequently bring headaches and fatigue. That is why the Polyarnyy page shows both indicators side by side. Weather data from Open-Meteo (CC BY).
Aurora viewing window for Polyarnyy tonight. Sunset is at 17:38 local time, sunrise tomorrow at 07:27. Moon phase — waning crescent with 10% disk illumination. Heavy cloud cover lowers the chance of seeing auroras even during a strong storm — it may be worth waiting for the next clear night..