Magnetic storms in Polyarnyy
Magnetic storms in Polyarnyy, Murmansk Oblast today. Current Kp index, 3-day forecast for Polyarnyy, local time, geomagnetic latitude and aurora visibility chance.
Data as of 24 Aug, 09:55 (Europe/Moscow).
Weather in Polyarnyy
Weather data: Open-Meteo (CC BY).
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Local context
Sensitivity · Polyarnyy
Very high sensitivity (auroral zone)
Kp is a planetary index — the same globally. Local impact depends on geomagnetic latitude: the higher it is, the more noticeable the storm.
14-day calendar with Kp, moon and cloud factors
Seven quick questions and personal tips
Geomagnetic context for Polyarnyy
Magnetic storm in Polyarnyy: 3-day Kp chart
Aurora forecast in Polyarnyy
| Date | Max Kp | Moon | Clouds | Score | Outlook |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Aug 24 | 1.7 | 82% | 93% | 3 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Tue, Aug 25 | 1.7 | 90% | 90% | 4 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Wed, Aug 26 | 1.7 | 95% | 60% | 15 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Thu, Aug 27 | 1.7 | 99% | 92% | 3 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Fri, Aug 28 | 3.0* | 100% | 67% | 14 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Sat, Aug 29 | 3.0* | 99% | 53% | 20 | Possible if you are away from city lights. |
| Sun, Aug 30 | 3.0* | 96% | 83% | 8 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Mon, Aug 31 | 3.0* | 91% | 100% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Tue, Sep 01 | 3.0* | 84% | 100% | 0 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Wed, Sep 02 | 3.0* | 75% | 99% | 1 | Auroras are very unlikely tonight. |
| Thu, Sep 03 | 3.0* | 65% | 80% | 12 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Fri, Sep 04 | 3.0* | 55% | 73% | 18 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Sat, Sep 05 | 3.0* | 44% | 85% | 11 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
| Sun, Sep 06 | 3.0* | 34% | 82% | 14 | Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show. |
- Mon, Aug 243Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 82%Clouds: 93%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Tue, Aug 254Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 90%Clouds: 90%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Wed, Aug 2615Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 95%Clouds: 60%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Thu, Aug 273Max Kp: 1.7Moon: 99%Clouds: 92%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Fri, Aug 2814Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 100%Clouds: 67%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Sat, Aug 2920Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 99%Clouds: 53%Possible if you are away from city lights.
- Sun, Aug 308Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 96%Clouds: 83%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Mon, Aug 310Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 91%Clouds: 100%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Tue, Sep 010Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 84%Clouds: 100%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Wed, Sep 021Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 75%Clouds: 99%Auroras are very unlikely tonight.
- Thu, Sep 0312Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 65%Clouds: 80%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Fri, Sep 0418Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 55%Clouds: 73%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Sat, Sep 0511Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 44%Clouds: 85%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
- Sun, Sep 0614Max Kp: 3.0*Moon: 34%Clouds: 82%Low chance, only the strongest auroras will show.
* Days marked with an asterisk do not have a direct NOAA forecast yet. If we have observations from 27 days ago, we use Bartels recurrence (the Sun rotates roughly every 27 days, so active regions often return with the same period). When no history is available, we substitute a baseline value typical for the current solar cycle 25 peak (Kp 3.0). Accuracy is lower than the direct three-day forecast.
How the score works
The composite score combines three signals: how strong the storm needs to be at your geomagnetic latitude, how bright the moon will be (a full moon hides faint auroras), and how cloudy the sky will be that night. A score of 70 or higher is excellent, 45 to 70 is good, below 20 means you probably will not see anything.
Magnetic storms in Polyarnyy over the last 30 days
Geomagnetic storms of class G1 and above recorded over the past month. Times are shown in the city's local timezone (GMT+3).
In Polyarnyy (geomagnetic latitude 65.0°), auroras are possible from Kp ≥ 1.
| Date | Peak | Max Kp | Level | Duration | Aurora visible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 5.0 | G1 | 3 h | Yes | |
| 21:00 | 5.3 | G1 | 3 h | Yes | |
| 06:00 | 5.0 | G1 | 3 h | Yes |
Nearby cities
About magnetic storms in Polyarnyy
Magnetic storm in Polyarnyy today: planetary Kp = 0.0 (quiet). Over the last 7 days the maximum Kp above Polyarnyy reached 5.3 (G1); storm days (G1+) this week: 2.
Polyarnyy sits at geomagnetic latitude 65.0°. The nearest magnetic observatory continuously recording the field is Lovozero (Murmansk), 152 km away. Population 17,332.
Polyarnyy sits inside the auroral zone (geomagnetic latitude 65.0°), where residents are accustomed to magnetic storms as part of daily life. Even moderate disturbances at Kp ≥ 4 can affect weather-sensitive people here: pensioners, people with hypertension and those recovering from illness may notice pressure swings, headaches and disrupted sleep. During active periods, hydrate more, avoid alcohol and strong coffee, postpone intense physical load.
Technical impact in Polyarnyy (auroral zone, 65.0°) is the most pronounced. Polar aviation routes, GPS precision, HF radio links and northern power grids face elevated risk from geomagnetically induced currents (GIC) during G3 and stronger storms. Local infrastructure operators routinely monitor space weather. Data: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, refreshed every 10 minutes.
Over Polyarnyy during the last 24 hours. Kp reached a maximum of 2.3 around 03:00 local time and dipped to 0.7. The planetary trend over the past 6 hours is steady — no sharp changes near Polyarnyy right now. So far this month the planet has logged 2 days with a G1 or stronger geomagnetic storm.
Aurora visibility threshold for Polyarnyy. At a geomagnetic latitude of 65.0°, the minimum Kp giving a realistic chance of visible auroras above Polyarnyy is about Kp ≥ 3. The current equatorial Dst index is 0 nT — the magnetosphere is in a quiet phase. Dst complements Kp by showing how long and how deep a storm's main phase has been — useful context when checking whether auroras are likely tonight.
Weather and atmospheric pressure in Polyarnyy right now. Temperature +10.3°C, atmospheric pressure 756 mm Hg (1007.9 hPa), cloud cover 100%, humidity 93%, wind 16.6 km/h. During G1+ geomagnetic storms, swings in atmospheric pressure tend to amplify symptoms for weather-sensitive people: those with hypertension often notice blood-pressure spikes, and readings below 1000 hPa combined with Kp ≥ 5 frequently bring headaches and fatigue. That is why the Polyarnyy page shows both indicators side by side. Weather data from Open-Meteo (CC BY).
Aurora viewing window for Polyarnyy tonight. Sunset is at 21:03 local time, sunrise tomorrow at 04:33. Moon phase — waxing gibbous with 85% disk illumination. Heavy cloud cover lowers the chance of seeing auroras even during a strong storm — it may be worth waiting for the next clear night..